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Estimating the Parameters of Cowan’s M3 Headway Distribution for Roundabout Capacity Analyses

dc.contributor.authorVasconcelos, Luís
dc.contributor.authorSilva, Ana Bastos
dc.contributor.authorSeco, Álvaro
dc.contributor.authorSilva, João Pedro
dc.date.accessioned2013-01-04T14:41:23Z
dc.date.available2013-01-04T14:41:23Z
dc.date.issued2012-12
dc.description.abstractCapacity models based on the gap acceptance theory are widely used in unsignalised intersections and roundabout capacity analysis. These models are based on the statistical distribution of major vehicle headways. In this field, Cowan’s M3 distribution is usually recognized as the most adequate, but the estimation of its parameters is not trivial. In this paper, the main estimation methods are reviewed and a new method (Simultaneous Numerical Estimation – SNE) is proposed. The SNE method was used to develop a calibrated relation between parameters, using field data collected in Portuguese roads and roundabouts. It was determined that the new formula improves capacity estimates, either in one-lane or in two-lane roundabouts. The paper also addresses the importance of each input variable and parameter in the resulting capacity model, through a sensitivity analyses.por
dc.description.sponsorshipFCT - Projeto AROUNDpor
dc.identifier.issn1822-427X
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.19/1285
dc.language.isoengpor
dc.peerreviewedyespor
dc.publisherThe Baltic Journal of Road and Bridge Engineeringpor
dc.relation.publisherversionhttp://www.bjrbe.vgtu.lt/volumes/en/volume7/number4/04.php
dc.subjectroundaboutpor
dc.subjectcapacitypor
dc.subjectCowan M3por
dc.subjectstatistical distributionpor
dc.subjectsensitivity analysespor
dc.subjectheadwaypor
dc.titleEstimating the Parameters of Cowan’s M3 Headway Distribution for Roundabout Capacity Analysespor
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.conferencePlaceVilniuspor
oaire.citation.endPage268por
oaire.citation.startPage216por
oaire.citation.titleThe Baltic Journal of Road and Bridge Engineeringpor
oaire.citation.volumeVII-4por
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspor
rcaap.typearticlepor

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